Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.026895 0.029056 0.031220 0.033548 0.035975 0.038429 0.041094
2025-08-17 0.022253 0.025696 0.029275 0.033255 0.037541 0.042002 0.046980
2025-08-24 0.019280 0.023476 0.027965 0.033087 0.038729 0.044721 0.051530
2025-08-31 0.016957 0.021650 0.026799 0.032802 0.039540 0.046812 0.055195
2025-09-07 0.015183 0.020249 0.025938 0.032694 0.040402 0.048833 0.058666
2025-09-14 0.013432 0.018722 0.024799 0.032150 0.040664 0.050095 0.061212
2025-09-21 0.011911 0.017348 0.023735 0.031596 0.040831 0.051177 0.063492
2025-09-28 0.010432 0.015916 0.022510 0.030768 0.040607 0.051753 0.065143
2025-10-05 0.009918 0.015650 0.022657 0.031541 0.042227 0.054425 0.069169
2025-10-12 0.009244 0.015129 0.022452 0.031857 0.043281 0.056422 0.072405
2025-10-19 0.008407 0.014338 0.021864 0.031665 0.043699 0.057652 0.074736
2025-10-26 0.008108 0.014246 0.022145 0.032532 0.045379 0.060358 0.078778
2025-11-02 0.007299 0.013451 0.021546 0.032353 0.045870 0.061761 0.081435
2025-11-09 0.006471 0.012586 0.020833 0.032025 0.046189 0.062989 0.083929
2025-11-16 0.005783 0.011868 0.020273 0.031857 0.046680 0.064402 0.086630
2025-11-23 0.005126 0.011139 0.019655 0.031579 0.047004 0.065593 0.089051
2025-11-30 0.004589 0.010548 0.019191 0.031473 0.047523 0.067005 0.091724
2025-12-07 0.003976 0.009778 0.018434 0.030942 0.047473 0.067700 0.093518
2025-12-14 0.003424 0.009051 0.017695 0.030400 0.047382 0.068323 0.095210
2025-12-21 0.002863 0.008242 0.016789 0.029591 0.046913 0.068453 0.096281
2025-12-28 0.002729 0.008192 0.017015 0.030346 0.048487 0.071130 0.100466
2026-01-04 0.002503 0.007948 0.016929 0.030655 0.049466 0.073060 0.103736
2026-01-11 0.002192 0.007501 0.016506 0.030468 0.049776 0.074140 0.105956